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Subscribe now Need help. Fall To 15-year Lows Find us on: Tsvetana is a writer for the U. Both forecasts missed by miles. Related: Oil Rises On Weaker Dollar, Stronger U.
Six months later, with oil trading 20-ish-dollars below the Raymond James forecast, Molchanov continues to be bullish on oil after the OPEC deal to curtail output. On the opposing side is Shawn Driscoll, portfolio manager at the T. Rowe Price New Era fund, who told Barrons. The market is likely to move into deficit in the first half next year by an estimated 600,000 bpd, said the International Energy Agency (IEA), as long as OPEC and non-OPEC producers manage to (and are willing to) stick to promised cuts.
In its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook from December 6, the U. BofA Merrill Lynch also factors in a rebound of the U.
As always, the game of predicting oil prices will have its winners and losers next year, too. But 2017 has some major wildcards for oil prices in store, including, but not limited to: Would OPEC stick to promised cuts.
Would those cuts rebalance the market at some point next year. Even if they start the year with sticking to cuts, would some OPEC and non-OPEC producers start cheating and renege on pledges once they see more revenues at higher oil prices and be tempted to get more revenue.
How would this affect global supply and oil prices. How would OPEC react to the U. Next PostOilfield Services To See Spending Surge In 2017 Tsvetana is a writer for the U. How many would be needed to be added back to increase production commensurate with OPEC cuts.
How much capex would it take reactivate over 1000 rigs. Can the shale producers really increase production to an extent to obviate the OPEC cut when LESS capex is being spent. How long will it take to gets those new rigs up and running and producing.
Phil Currie on December 23 2016 said: Craig Ferrell is correct. One more thing to add to his comments. Where will all the people come from to run these rigs to bring back this oil production. Many have left the industry, some will flock back, but not all.